NWS Fire Weather Forecast


000
FNUS51 KBGM 142250
FWFBGM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central NY/Northeast PA
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
550 PM EST Fri Dec 14 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
A complex weather system will impact the region this weekend.
The first weaker wave of low pressure moves through tonight,
bringing a chance for light rain from the New York, Pennsylvania
border south. The next, stronger low moves through Saturday
night through Sunday night, bringing a possible wintry mix to
the area. Turning colder with snow showers early next week, then
drier and seasonable for midweek.

NYZ009-150900-
Northern Oneida-
Including the city of Boonville
550 PM EST Fri Dec 14 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type           None         None         None         Frz Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0            30
Temp (24h trend)      32 (+5)      39 (0)       22           36
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      67 (-6)      88           59
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  S 3-7        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.03
Precip Duration                                              2
Precip Begin                                                 6 AM
Precip End                                                   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             1400                      840
Transport Wnd (mph)                N  6                      SE 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  8350                      13550
DSI                   0            1            0            1
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          3            4            4            5

REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ036-037-150900-
Madison-Southern Oneida-
Including the cities of Hamilton, Oneida, Rome, and Utica
550 PM EST Fri Dec 14 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type           None         None         Frz Rain     Frz Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            20           40
Temp (24h trend)      33 (+6)      39 (-3)      24           37
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      67 (-6)      96           67
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               Lgt/Var                   E 5-9
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  S 6-10 G19   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      E 3-7
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.04
Precip Duration                                 0            2
Precip Begin                                    3 AM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             1200                      1150
Transport Wnd (mph)                N  8                      SE 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  8260                      20790
DSI                   0            1            0            1
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          2            4            4            4

REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ015>018-150900-
Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-
Including the cities of Penn Yan, Seneca Falls, Auburn,
and Syracuse
550 PM EST Fri Dec 14 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type           None         None         Frz Rain     Frz Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            20           30
Temp (24h trend)      34 (+2)      40 (-6)      27           37
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      70 (+17)     100          69
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  S 7-11 G19   N 3-7        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.04
Precip Duration                                 1            2
Precip Begin                                    12 AM        Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             1160                      1060
Transport Wnd (mph)                NE 10                     SE  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  13130                     11170
DSI                   0            1            0            1
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          3            4            4            4

REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ022>025-150900-
Steuben-Schuyler-Chemung-Tompkins-
Including the cities of Corning, Hornell, Watkins Glen, Elmira,
and Ithaca
550 PM EST Fri Dec 14 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type           None         None         Frz Rain     Frz Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            40           40
Temp (24h trend)      33 (0)       40 (-6)      26           37
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      67 (+19)     100          73
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  SW 5-9 G18   NE 3-7       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.04         0.07
Precip Duration                                 1            2
Precip Begin                                    9 PM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             970                       1210
Transport Wnd (mph)                NE 12                     SE 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  11520                     15320
DSI                   0            1            0            1
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          3            4            4            4

REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ044-045-055-056-150900-
Cortland-Chenango-Tioga-Broome-
Including the cities of Cortland, Norwich, Owego, Waverly,
and Binghamton
550 PM EST Fri Dec 14 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type           None         None         Frz Rain     Frz Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            30           40
Temp (24h trend)      32 (+2)      41 (-1)      26           36
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      64 (-7)      100          69
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  S 5-9        NE 3-7       NE 3-7       Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.03         0.10
Precip Duration                                 1            2
Precip Begin                                    11 PM        Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             900                       1030
Transport Wnd (mph)                NE 13                     SE 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  11420                     16520
DSI                   0            1            0            1
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          3            4            4            4

REMARKS...None.

$$

NYZ046-057-062-150900-
Otsego-Delaware-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Oneonta, Delhi, Walton, and Monticello
550 PM EST Fri Dec 14 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type           Rain         None         Frz Rain     Sleet/rain
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            30           60
Temp (24h trend)      34 (+6)      44 (+5)      24           35
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      33 (-43)     96           64
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               Lgt/Var                   E 4-8
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  SW 6-10 G18  NE 4-8       NE 4-8       NE 6-10
Precip Amount         0.01         0.00         0.06         0.18
Precip Duration       2                         1            5
Precip Begin          6 PM                      11 PM        Continuing
Precip End            6 AM                      Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             710                       830
Transport Wnd (mph)                NE 10                     E 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  7620                      18360
DSI                   0            1            0            1
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          3            3            4            3

REMARKS...None.

$$

PAZ038-039-043-150900-
Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-
Including the cities of Sayre, Towanda, Hallstead, Montrose,
and Tunkhannock
550 PM EST Fri Dec 14 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type           Rain         Showers      Frz Rain     Frz Rain
Chance Precip (%)     30           10           60           50
Temp (24h trend)      36 (+5)      43 (-1)      29           37
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      62 (-6)      100          75
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               Lgt/Var                   NE 3-7
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  S 3-7        N 4-8        NE 3-7       N 3-7
Precip Amount         0.02         0.00         0.17         0.18
Precip Duration       2            0            4            3
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   9 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   8 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             1080                      1010
Transport Wnd (mph)                NE 12                     E 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  12650                     18210
DSI                   0            1            0            1
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          3            3            5            3

REMARKS...None.

$$

PAZ044-047-150900-
Lackawanna-Luzerne-
Including the cities of Scranton, Hazleton, and Wilkes-Barre
550 PM EST Fri Dec 14 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type           Rain         Showers      Frz Rain     Frz Rain
Chance Precip (%)     50           30           70           60
Temp (24h trend)      37 (+6)      45 (+1)      31           38
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      60 (-19)     100          75
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               Lgt/Var                   NE 5-9
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  Lgt/Var      NE 4-8       NE 4-8       NE 4-8
Precip Amount         0.08         0.02         0.39         0.29
Precip Duration       2            1            5            9
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             710                       1010
Transport Wnd (mph)                NE 12                     E 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  8570                      18690
DSI                   0            1            0            1
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          3            3            4            2

REMARKS...None.

$$

PAZ040-048-072-150900-
Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
Including the cities of Damascus, Equinunk, Milford,
and Honesdale
550 PM EST Fri Dec 14 2018

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type           Rain         Showers      Frz Rain     Frz Rain
Chance Precip (%)     40           20           60           60
Temp (24h trend)      35 (+9)      46 (+8)      29           36
RH % (24h trend)      100 (0)      65 (-16)     96           75
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)               Lgt/Var                   NE 5-9
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)  Lgt/Var      N 4-8        NE 3-7       NE 6-10
Precip Amount         0.05         0.01         0.22         0.26
Precip Duration       2            1            4            6
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing   10 PM        Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   5 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             620                       1060
Transport Wnd (mph)                NE 10                     E 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  7100                      21910
DSI                   0            1            0            1
LAL                   No tstms     No tstms     No tstms     No tstms
Haines Index          3            3            4            2

REMARKS...None.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$

NWS BGM Office Area Fire Weather Forecast